Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -490 IU +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -7.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.3 (+0.7) | 133.4 (+19.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.3 (+1.7) | 132.4 (+20.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.2 (+0.8) | 134.5 (+18.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.9 (+1.1) | 134.8 (+18.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#13) | 11.7 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#22) | 2.16 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#14) | 3.56 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#43) | 0.573 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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