Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.0 Push |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -155 JXST +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -4.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -3.5 (-0.5) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -2.0 (+1.0) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.5 (+0.5) | 142.5 (-7.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.3 (-0.3) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | EKU 62 – 59 JXST |
| Dec 21, 2024 | JXST 91 – 80 EKU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | EKU 69 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | JXST 81 – 68 EKU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | JXST 76 – 65 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-7 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#129) | 0.7 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#124) | 0.93 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#150) | 1.12 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#143) | 0.539 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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