Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -550 WASH +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -12.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+34.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -10.2 (+5.8) | 133.3 (+32.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -9.2 (+6.8) | 136.1 (+29.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -10.4 (+5.6) | 136.3 (+29.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -10.7 (+5.3) | 135.0 (+31.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#54) | -3.1 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#49) | -1.68 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#43) | -1.74 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#22) | 0.451 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 24.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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