In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
The HTC Center · January 8, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CCU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money CCU -200 / USA +175
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCU win
Actual CCU +13 143 Won
Massey CCU -4.8 (+8.2) — —
Massey Totals — 151.8 (-8.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CCU -5.5 (+7.5) 148.3 (-5.3) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCU -5.3 (+7.7) 140.8 (+2.2) 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CCU -5.8 (+7.2) 148.0 (-5.0) 74% ✓
Baseline ML CCU -5.0 (+8.0) 150.2 (-7.2) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2026 USA 53 – 48 CCU
Feb 6, 2025 USA 84 – 59 CCU
Jan 21, 2023 CCU 85 – 81 USA
Mar 29, 2022 CCU 69 – 68 USA
Feb 18, 2022 USA 71 – 68 CCU

Game Analysis

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