Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -1100 NEV +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -14.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -11.2 (-6.2) | 138.9 (-13.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -9.4 (-4.4) | 135.3 (-10.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -10.6 (-5.6) | 135.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -11.0 (-6.0) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 57 NEV |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 68 NEV |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SDSU 80 – 61 NEV |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SDSU 69 – 50 NEV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEV 70 – 66 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#34) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#43) | 0.47 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#47) | 0.37 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#15) | 0.539 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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