We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Quinnipiac Bobcats
84 – 79 2OT
FINAL Conference
Manhattan Jaspers
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 8, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -3.0 Home covered
O/U 131.0 Over
Money QUIN -145 / MAN +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +5 163 Won
Massey QUIN -13.8 (-8.8) — —
Massey Totals — 127.1 (+35.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -9.3 (-4.3) 132.0 (+31.0) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -8.5 (-3.5) 134.1 (+28.9) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -8.1 (-3.1) 135.8 (+27.2) 82% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -9.9 (-4.9) 136.9 (+26.1) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 19, 2026 QUIN 98 – 92 MAN
Jan 3, 2026 MAN 80 – 79 QUIN
Feb 23, 2025 QUIN 74 – 71 MAN
Feb 3, 2024 QUIN 77 – 71 MAN
Jan 7, 2024 QUIN 76 – 59 MAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN MAN
Overall 9-13 7-13
Conference 7-10 6-12
Home 8-5 4-6
Away 1-5 3-6
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 2-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 67.5 63.4
Avg Pts Against 69.0 67.2
Massey -4.0 (#238) -14.6 (#331)
Bradley-Terry -0.36 (#197) -2.19 (#315)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.61 (#205) -3.36 (#318)
RPI 0.455 (#222) 0.322 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN MAN
FG% 41.7% 37.9%
3PT% 31.2% 25.8%
REB / G 36.5 33.8
OREB / G 8.2 12.4
AST / TO 0.78 0.64
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 43.4%
TOV% 23.3% 22.8%
ORB% 24.4% 32.5%
FT Rate 23.1% 27.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.4% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 23.6%
DRB% 70.6% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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