Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -210 TNTC +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -8.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -6.4 (-3.4) | 131.7 (-20.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -6.1 (-3.1) | 130.1 (-19.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.9 (-2.9) | 133.3 (-22.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -6.5 (-3.5) | 131.2 (-20.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#263) | -10.9 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#227) | -1.93 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#206) | -2.25 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#223) | 0.437 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 27.8% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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