Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -19.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -16.7 (-10.7) | 133.7 (-1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -15.1 (-9.1) | 134.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -17.5 (-11.5) | 132.3 (-0.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -18.3 (-12.3) | 134.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 2-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-3 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#72) | -9.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#97) | -3.42 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#83) | -4.45 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#133) | 0.425 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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