Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -240 IUIN +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +24 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -13.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (+39.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -9.1 (+14.9) | 131.0 (+33.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -9.8 (+14.2) | 135.0 (+29.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -13.7 (+10.3) | 133.6 (+30.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -10.3 (+13.7) | 130.1 (+33.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 4-5 | 3-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#127) | -7.9 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#200) | -1.62 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#179) | -2.65 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#231) | 0.349 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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