Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
| Money | CAL +145 WSU -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -0.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -0.9 (-10.1) | 131.8 (-0.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -0.4 (-11.4) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -0.1 (-11.1) | 133.3 (-2.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -0.1 (-11.1) | 133.4 (-2.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#181) | 2.6 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#206) | 1.51 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#208) | 2.14 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#209) | 0.488 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 43.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 39.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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