Betting Lines
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -15.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -14.1 (+2.9) | 160.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -12.5 (+4.5) | 153.7 (+1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -14.8 (+2.2) | 157.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -14.1 (+2.9) | 160.1 (-5.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | GONZ 88 – 81 BYU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | GONZ 75 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | GONZ 90 – 57 BYU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | GONZ 110 – 84 BYU |
| Mar 10, 2021 | GONZ 88 – 78 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 10-3 |
| Home | 12-0 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-0 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 21.5 (#2) | 9.8 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.07 (#1) | 2.29 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.13 (#1) | 3.04 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.703 (#3) | 0.580 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.9% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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