Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | GB +105 OAK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GB -6.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -3.3 (-0.3) | 153.3 (+11.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -3.3 (-0.3) | 155.0 (+10.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -3.1 (-0.1) | 153.9 (+11.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -3.4 (-0.4) | 152.7 (+12.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#269) | -9.2 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#306) | -0.56 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#273) | -0.43 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#264) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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