The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–10 on winners spread MAE 9.6 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona @ UConn +8.2 149.0 73% 71–67 ✗
Chattanooga @ South Carolina State -0.2 141.6 45% 78–66 ✓
South Alabama @ Jacksonville State +7.8 138.5 73% 71–65 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Ohio +4.0 157.4 65% 76–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Indiana State +10.7 134.9 85% 51–60 ✓
Hofstra @ Temple +5.4 146.5 62% 76–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ South Carolina Upstate +6.4 135.0 72% 88–84 ✗
Howard @ Stetson +3.4 140.4 59% 60–64 ✓
North Florida @ Wofford +10.1 147.2 84% 78–86 ✓
William & Mary @ Bowling Green +18.9 150.7 89% 82–74 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Samford +7.2 157.4 76% 77–62 ✗
Youngstown State @ Toledo +0.2 150.3 48% 75–92 ✓
Valparaiso @ Cleveland State +3.7 146.5 64% 90–75 ✗
Villanova @ La Salle -2.4 142.8 40% 70–55 ✓
Bryant @ Virginia Tech +23.3 146.7 91% 61–78 ✓
Bellarmine @ Notre Dame +24.1 151.8 91% 79–86 ✓
VMI @ Richmond +11.5 149.0 85% 54–87 ✓
UMBC @ George Washington +16.6 147.2 88% 52–89 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Duquesne +10.3 146.5 81% 78–92 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Maryland +12.3 136.0 86% 90–95 ✓
Wyoming @ Sam Houston -2.3 152.1 35% 70–78 ✗
Maine @ Merrimack +3.7 131.8 61% 65–72 ✓
Dayton @ Marquette +4.9 145.8 65% 77–71 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina +1.5 142.2 54% 73–80 ✓
UC Irvine @ Utah Valley +3.6 143.9 65% 72–79 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bradley +20.3 144.8 90% 77–87 ✓
North Dakota @ Creighton +19.0 148.5 89% 60–75 ✓
South Florida @ Oklahoma State +3.6 156.8 58% 95–103 ✓
Kansas City @ TCU +16.8 146.6 88% 45–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont +19.1 144.4 89% 68–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Auburn +24.8 150.5 91% 66–112 ✓
Alabama @ Illinois +7.8 162.3 80% 90–86 ✗
Arkansas State @ Saint Mary's +18.2 150.9 88% 72–85 ✓
Campbell @ Weber State +4.7 150.6 68% 85–91 ✓
Southern Utah @ Washington State +12.7 152.8 87% 74–98 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Incarnate Word +8.7 134.8 81% 81–87 ✓
High Point @ UIC -3.9 144.6 39% 90–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Marshall +16.0 153.5 90% 70–98 ✓
Memphis @ Purdue +11.1 146.8 86% 71–80 ✓
Lindenwood @ Indiana +24.7 152.7 91% 53–73 ✓
Robert Morris @ St. Bonaventure +10.2 150.5 82% 61–75 ✓
Brown @ Stony Brook +14.6 141.2 86% 70–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.