And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–5 on winners spread MAE 8.1 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ Vermont +13.0 142.5 88% 57–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +2.8 138.5 60% 66–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State -0.2 132.3 50% 63–61 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +7.2 142.0 79% 58–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +7.8 140.9 79% 64–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +2.7 129.1 63% 70–52 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Montana +3.4 143.3 63% 83–71 ✗
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -0.5 144.0 43% 77–51 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State +9.1 150.7 81% 70–74 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +5.2 150.2 68% 70–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +9.4 148.1 81% 58–92 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.4 126.7 59% 47–51 ✓
Marist @ Manhattan -0.3 137.1 50% 61–50 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +4.1 133.5 67% 58–60 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +7.6 137.7 79% 88–68 ✗
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +1.0 150.2 53% 80–76 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +3.0 136.9 65% 54–65 ✓
Wake Forest @ Syracuse -2.6 152.4 36% 77–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +2.1 138.5 62% 65–67 ✓
Richmond @ George Mason +1.1 130.4 58% 57–62 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +6.2 143.5 72% 81–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +10.9 131.8 85% 72–87 ✓
Colorado @ Washington -3.1 136.6 37% 74–68 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +2.2 140.9 58% 63–76 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +4.2 133.6 69% 70–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.9 148.4 58% 71–75 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Washington -0.1 154.8 53% 87–76 ✓
California @ Washington State +14.2 129.3 87% 52–69 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +8.4 138.9 78% 66–65 ✗
South Carolina State @ Howard +8.4 151.2 79% 55–91 ✓
UTEP @ Western Kentucky +0.2 137.7 52% 67–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin -1.1 133.5 43% 65–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.