I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–5 on winners spread MAE 8.3 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ Maryland -1.2 156.8 47% 89–67 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +5.9 134.8 75% 73–80 ✓
Cincinnati @ SMU +11.2 144.0 82% 76–69 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack — — — 90–97 —
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +3.7 142.7 75% 75–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +6.5 131.2 73% 54–57 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Belmont +14.3 147.0 87% 66–77 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State +15.1 140.2 88% 71–74 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +3.3 142.1 63% 66–69 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -0.9 132.3 40% 73–69 ✓
BYU @ Gonzaga +14.1 160.1 86% 69–86 ✓
Murray State @ Eastern Illinois +2.3 140.7 62% 68–74 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +0.5 138.3 50% 79–67 ✗
Illinois @ Northwestern -3.5 152.7 38% 81–56 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +10.7 135.0 81% 75–91 ✓
USC @ Arizona +3.3 145.0 59% 87–73 ✗
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +3.4 144.2 63% 62–74 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +15.6 146.1 87% 64–88 ✓
Idaho @ Southern Utah +13.7 151.2 88% 80–85 ✓
Washington State @ California +0.1 133.4 37% 71–60 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +11.0 139.0 85% 60–65 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona State -2.4 149.6 38% 81–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +10.3 130.1 81% 70–94 ✓
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +9.9 136.9 84% 79–84 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +4.4 142.2 73% 58–71 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack — — — 68–62 —
Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.1 137.0 55% 55–67 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Bryant +16.4 159.5 89% 64–76 ✓
Rider @ Niagara +11.0 136.7 85% 76–70 ✗
Oakland @ Green Bay +3.4 152.7 66% 81–84 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +18.3 134.8 89% 63–69 ✓
South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina +5.0 150.2 73% 65–78 ✓
Georgia Southern @ App State +5.5 138.7 73% 63–66 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +7.3 149.2 80% 78–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.