Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–11 on winners spread MAE 10.4 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duquesne @ Dayton +6.9 136.3 73% 65–57 ✗
Delaware State @ South Carolina State +0.3 142.9 51% 71–58 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +6.6 146.3 73% 62–79 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana -1.3 150.9 45% 59–61 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -1.1 132.8 46% 50–48 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +3.4 146.6 62% 68–75 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +4.0 131.2 64% 57–81 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +9.2 151.0 80% 69–89 ✓
Temple @ SMU +12.7 142.3 88% 75–60 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +0.1 140.2 50% 85–78 ✗
Villanova @ Marquette +3.7 139.6 63% 65–71 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +4.6 140.9 66% 73–58 ✗
Boston College @ Virginia +1.6 123.6 56% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Baylor +4.3 150.8 65% 56–68 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +6.6 160.5 73% 80–85 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington +2.0 147.8 57% 78–109 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +0.4 156.5 52% 58–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +1.7 153.2 56% 67–86 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State -0.4 154.9 49% 76–66 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +6.7 143.6 73% 62–67 ✓
UTEP @ Sam Houston +2.2 138.7 58% 65–63 ✗
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +7.8 141.1 76% 73–56 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +7.1 137.6 74% 59–81 ✓
Wisconsin @ Northwestern -3.3 142.0 38% 70–61 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +1.3 137.3 55% 53–65 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +7.9 147.1 76% 54–85 ✓
Wichita State @ UAB +1.7 150.7 56% 60–72 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +8.7 142.2 79% 55–86 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green -3.4 146.6 38% 73–60 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +11.1 148.2 84% 90–95 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +2.6 147.0 59% 80–74 ✗
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.5 155.7 69% 74–77 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +1.6 137.9 56% 62–60 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +10.3 130.9 83% 59–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +5.9 148.1 70% 65–72 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +4.0 161.9 64% 97–87 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic +4.3 138.5 65% 71–77 ✓
Ohio @ Akron +2.2 142.3 58% 62–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.