They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–7 on winners spread MAE 8.2 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ Vermont +14.2 137.3 90% 57–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +3.1 139.4 61% 66–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State -0.4 127.1 48% 63–61 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +8.7 143.2 78% 58–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +8.0 143.7 77% 64–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +4.3 122.3 65% 70–52 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Montana +3.6 141.3 63% 83–71 ✗
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +0.8 142.6 53% 77–51 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State +10.0 152.6 82% 70–74 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +5.6 151.5 70% 70–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +11.7 154.2 86% 58–92 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.2 121.2 58% 47–51 ✓
Marist @ Manhattan +0.2 134.5 51% 61–50 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +5.1 127.9 68% 58–60 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +9.8 140.1 81% 88–68 ✗
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +1.4 152.0 55% 80–76 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +2.3 133.4 58% 54–65 ✓
Wake Forest @ Syracuse -2.7 155.1 40% 77–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +2.3 133.8 58% 65–67 ✓
Richmond @ George Mason +0.8 130.6 53% 57–62 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +8.4 139.9 78% 81–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +12.3 133.3 87% 72–87 ✓
Colorado @ Washington -5.2 138.8 32% 74–68 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +2.3 142.5 58% 63–76 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +4.5 136.9 66% 70–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.6 149.9 56% 71–75 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Washington -0.4 158.7 49% 87–76 ✓
California @ Washington State +13.7 123.5 89% 52–69 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +8.3 138.1 78% 66–65 ✗
South Carolina State @ Howard +8.1 158.4 77% 55–91 ✓
UTEP @ Western Kentucky +0.2 135.4 51% 67–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin -1.8 133.0 43% 65–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.