Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–7 on winners spread MAE 8.9 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Stephen F. Austin @ Louisiana Tech +6.1 154.2 71% 80–79 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +4.4 135.9 66% 61–64 ✓
Wright State @ Akron +10.2 145.1 82% 54–66 ✓
Stetson @ Charleston +12.7 159.5 88% 60–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati +16.9 154.6 94% 76–103 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ South Dakota +2.0 137.4 57% 87–86 ✗
Morehead State @ Georgia Southern +8.1 126.3 77% 74–71 ✗
Radford @ VCU +3.3 135.0 62% 62–70 ✓
Long Island University @ UAlbany +10.6 150.3 83% 59–76 ✓
Queens University @ East Tennessee State -3.4 138.0 38% 78–75 ✓
DePaul @ Duquesne +5.7 155.0 70% 55–66 ✓
Drexel @ Seton Hall +11.7 124.7 86% 49–66 ✓
South Carolina @ UAB +24.4 147.6 99% 70–84 ✓
Ohio @ Florida +7.0 150.4 74% 48–82 ✓
App State @ Wake Forest +13.9 146.6 90% 66–67 ✓
Mississippi State @ Jackson State -22.9 128.5 2% 69–59 ✓
Sam Houston @ UL Monroe -19.3 126.0 4% 79–53 ✓
UCF @ Ole Miss +5.9 124.7 70% 72–61 ✗
Georgia State @ Auburn +22.3 123.2 98% 64–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Tennessee State +8.4 146.5 78% 91–87 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas State +1.0 131.1 54% 61–68 ✓
Bowling Green @ Norfolk State +6.0 146.1 71% 75–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lipscomb +12.0 151.8 86% 63–64 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Minnesota +8.4 138.0 78% 56–72 ✓
UCLA @ Maryland +2.6 139.0 60% 87–60 ✗
UC Riverside @ Oregon +13.0 135.9 88% 65–71 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisville -9.6 126.9 19% 83–94 ✗
New Mexico State @ Saint Mary's +13.4 130.1 89% 68–81 ✓
UC San Diego @ Nevada +21.2 130.3 97% 56–64 ✓
Long Beach State @ USC +8.7 143.4 79% 78–88 ✓
Elon @ Presbyterian +6.9 130.9 73% 63–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.