Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–12 on winners spread MAE 11.0 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida Gulf Coast @ Tennessee +5.0 136.9 68% 50–81 ✓
Oakland @ Toledo +33.0 166.4 100% 90–112 ✓
Marist @ Lehigh +8.5 144.6 78% 54–64 ✓
Ohio @ Detroit Mercy +5.8 142.4 70% 74–88 ✓
William & Mary @ American University +11.9 144.1 86% 64–71 ✓
Delaware State @ Columbia +7.4 135.0 75% 65–70 ✓
Cincinnati @ Northern Kentucky -4.2 137.7 35% 51–64 ✗
Hampton @ East Carolina +16.2 147.3 93% 73–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ Canisius +3.0 154.1 61% 58–57 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Tulane +12.7 141.0 88% 79–99 ✓
Harvard @ Northeastern +3.7 146.1 63% 70–69 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Ohio State +28.4 128.1 100% 43–65 ✓
Presbyterian @ UAB +19.2 152.8 96% 61–92 ✓
Iowa @ Seton Hall +10.7 143.3 83% 83–67 ✗
Army @ Siena +25.7 139.2 99% 96–94 ✗
Texas Southern @ Houston +41.1 135.3 100% 48–83 ✓
South Dakota State @ Arkansas +11.8 133.7 86% 56–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Chicago State +0.4 148.2 51% 74–87 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +5.6 137.5 69% 67–61 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Notre Dame +0.4 155.6 51% 70–82 ✓
Ball State @ Omaha +6.0 150.2 71% 71–61 ✗
Southern @ Saint Mary's +18.7 131.7 96% 54–72 ✓
VCU @ Arizona State -3.1 128.4 39% 59–63 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Idaho +13.2 129.8 88% 52–43 ✗
Gonzaga @ Texas +11.2 133.5 85% 74–93 ✓
San Francisco @ Fresno State +8.6 134.1 78% 67–60 ✗
Furman @ Penn State +6.1 153.8 71% 68–73 ✓
Colorado @ Massachusetts -8.7 146.8 21% 63–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech +10.1 151.9 82% 71–75 ✓
Murray State @ Texas A&M +11.9 145.7 86% 88–79 ✗
Colorado State @ South Carolina -8.2 131.0 23% 85–53 ✓
Saint Francis @ Butler +20.1 133.4 97% 67–95 ✓
Kansas City @ Kansas State +25.1 132.8 99% 53–69 ✓
Nebraska @ St. John's +9.4 155.3 80% 50–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.