Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
23–10 on winners spread MAE 7.4 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
American University @ Holy Cross +2.9 135.3 60% 60–54 ✗
Vermont @ Hartford -12.1 143.8 14% 74–75 ✗
Duquesne @ Davidson +15.1 140.7 91% 61–72 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +8.2 141.0 77% 67–76 ✓
James Madison @ Delaware +6.0 144.5 71% 60–81 ✓
Drexel @ Charleston +2.4 154.7 59% 75–79 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +6.4 150.2 72% 77–86 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coppin State +0.4 141.8 52% 77–74 ✗
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -2.5 142.6 41% 77–71 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech +6.2 117.3 71% 53–62 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State +3.3 129.8 62% 73–78 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -1.4 143.7 45% 98–102 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +4.5 131.9 66% 70–77 ✓
Canisius @ Fairfield +7.9 134.1 76% 76–80 ✓
South Carolina State @ Morgan State -0.2 150.3 49% 66–76 ✗
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -16.6 132.7 7% 69–66 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Southern Miss -12.9 141.3 12% 87–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M +6.8 129.5 73% 69–74 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado +2.0 160.5 57% 95–100 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ UIC +19.3 125.7 96% 54–57 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern +3.5 137.1 63% 70–58 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +6.4 116.5 72% 51–71 ✓
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M +4.9 151.0 67% 70–71 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State +5.5 132.0 69% 56–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas +11.5 148.1 85% 62–76 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +0.5 135.8 52% 59–62 ✓
Dayton @ Rhode Island -2.8 122.0 40% 63–57 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +12.2 143.2 87% 77–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State +15.2 155.8 92% 85–71 ✗
High Point @ Longwood +9.6 139.6 81% 66–70 ✓
Akron @ Western Michigan -9.5 130.5 19% 57–61 ✗
Kent State @ Toledo +10.9 140.7 84% 72–59 ✗
Michigan State @ Penn State -3.1 129.2 39% 58–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.