Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -6.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.1 (+5.9) | 146.2 (+16.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.4 (+4.6) | 148.3 (+14.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.4 (+4.6) | 149.8 (+13.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.1 (+4.9) | 148.7 (+14.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#307) | -12.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#313) | -2.19 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#327) | -2.75 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#325) | 0.390 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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