Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -11.0 Push |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -11.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -10.7 (+0.3) | 144.6 (+20.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -11.1 (-0.1) | 143.5 (+21.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -11.5 (-0.5) | 142.6 (+22.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -10.9 (+0.1) | 143.5 (+21.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 0-19 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L21 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#76) | -1.4 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#39) | -0.57 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#36) | -0.50 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#69) | 0.454 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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