Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -10.4 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -10.2 (+14.2) | 131.4 (-13.4) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -9.2 (+13.2) | 134.4 (-16.4) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -8.4 (+12.4) | 134.5 (-16.5) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -9.6 (+13.6) | 132.6 (-14.6) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#337) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#336) | 0.44 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#338) | 0.45 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#319) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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