Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +10 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -12.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -11.2 (+1.2) | 142.0 (+22.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -9.7 (-0.3) | 143.0 (+21.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -10.0 (-0.0) | 143.4 (+20.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -10.2 (+0.2) | 142.9 (+21.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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