Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -3.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -2.4 (+2.6) | 135.9 (+15.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -3.3 (+1.7) | 134.4 (+16.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -3.9 (+1.1) | 135.4 (+15.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -4.0 (+1.0) | 134.7 (+16.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KSU 65 – 63 WVU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | KSU 73 – 60 WVU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | KSU 94 – 90 WVU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | KSU 81 – 67 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#59) | 8.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#60) | 1.81 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#45) | 2.23 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#117) | 0.563 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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