Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -17.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -13.8 (+10.8) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -13.8 (+10.8) | 135.8 (-0.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -12.4 (+9.4) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -12.5 (+9.5) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 12-2 |
| Home | 2-11 | 11-0 |
| Away | 0-13 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L25 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 66.6 |
| Massey | -21.0 (#358) | -1.1 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.90 (#358) | 0.37 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.30 (#358) | 0.44 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#356) | 0.510 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.45 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 26.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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