Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | KU -11.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -11.0 (+3.0) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -10.4 (+3.6) | 150.4 (-12.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.4 (+3.6) | 147.9 (-9.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.3 (+3.7) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 19-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W11 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#6) | 10.4 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#5) | 1.39 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.42 (#5) | 2.03 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#2) | 0.561 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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