Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -6.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -5.1 (-0.1) | 132.5 (+10.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -4.1 (+0.9) | 132.2 (+10.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -4.1 (+0.9) | 132.7 (+10.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -4.0 (+1.0) | 133.7 (+9.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AAMU 89 – 79 UAPB |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 67 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.4 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#340) | -16.4 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#337) | -2.74 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#334) | -3.54 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#343) | 0.402 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.