Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -15.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -12.8 (-1.8) | 137.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -13.2 (-2.2) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -13.9 (-2.9) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -13.8 (-2.8) | 141.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DAV 67 – 56 DUQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUQ 89 – 83 DAV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DAV 77 – 71 DUQ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | DAV 72 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DAV 71 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 1-16 |
| Home | 13-1 | 3-11 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#66) | -4.7 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#30) | -1.03 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#42) | -1.02 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#28) | 0.445 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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