I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Pac-12 Conference · Matthew Knight Arena · February 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -4.5 Away covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual ORE +3 121 Won
Massey ORE -0.7 (+2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 135.8 (-14.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORE -2.9 (+0.1) 132.3 (-11.3) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -2.8 (+0.2) 136.1 (-15.1) 66% ✓
Baseline ML ORE -2.1 (+0.9) 137.0 (-16.0) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORE -2.0 (+1.0) 137.4 (-16.4) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 62 – 56 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 89 – 84 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 75 – 70 WSU
Feb 20, 2023 WSU 68 – 65 ORE
Dec 2, 2022 ORE 74 – 60 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE WSU
Overall 20-15 22-15
Conference 11-9 11-9
Home 12-5 13-7
Away 6-6 8-5
Neutral 1-4 1-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 71.5
Avg Pts Against 70.3 64.9
Massey 8.8 (#60) 11.0 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 1.64 (#61) 1.12 (#92)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.07 (#57) 1.64 (#80)
RPI 0.574 (#56) 0.556 (#76)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE WSU
FG% 46.4% 41.7%
3PT% 35.5% 33.8%
REB / G 34.0 37.2
OREB / G 10.1 12.3
AST / TO 0.97 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 49.2%
TOV% 17.7% 17.7%
ORB% 30.2% 34.0%
FT Rate 20.3% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 21.9%
DRB% 69.9% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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