Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PV -4.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -3.5 (-2.5) | 144.1 (-3.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -2.6 (-1.6) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -2.7 (-1.7) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -2.0 (-1.0) | 146.5 (-5.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | PV 68 – 63 GRAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GRAM 76 – 72 PV |
| Feb 18, 2025 | GRAM 70 – 48 PV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | PV 73 – 55 GRAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | GRAM 83 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#299) | -9.1 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#314) | -1.38 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#298) | -1.79 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#309) | 0.439 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.