Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -9.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -9.2 (-5.2) | 140.0 (-4.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -8.4 (-4.4) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -8.4 (-4.4) | 140.9 (-4.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -9.0 (-5.0) | 140.4 (-4.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HPU 71 – 59 LONG |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HPU 80 – 67 LONG |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HPU 83 – 72 LONG |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LONG 82 – 80 HPU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LONG 80 – 79 HPU |
Game Analysis
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