Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | ALCN -5.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -4.1 (+7.9) | 131.9 (-7.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -3.6 (+8.4) | 135.0 (-11.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -3.9 (+8.1) | 135.4 (-11.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -3.8 (+8.2) | 135.5 (-11.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 58 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FAMU 65 – 64 ALCN |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ALCN 79 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 9-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#271) | -8.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#278) | -1.41 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#274) | -2.08 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#232) | 0.439 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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