I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–2 on winners spread MAE 12.0 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Le Moyne @ UConn +25.6 148.3 91% 49–90 ✓
Montana @ Tennessee — — — 57–92 —
Tennessee State @ Howard — — — 84–88 —
Georgia State @ Jacksonville State — — — 67–72 —
Coastal Carolina @ NC State — — — 70–82 —
Mount St. Mary's @ Bucknell — — — 93–89 —
Harvard @ Northeastern +3.1 140.7 63% 56–78 ✓
Wright State @ Toledo — — — 77–86 —
Wofford @ Presbyterian — — — 68–71 —
St. Bonaventure @ Florida Gulf Coast -7.7 132.2 22% 74–65 ✓
Richmond @ Charlotte — — — 48–65 —
Ball State @ Dayton — — — 69–77 —
Central Michigan @ George Mason +9.8 141.6 70% 70–69 ✗
Milwaukee @ Longwood — — — 62–76 —
Canisius @ Mercyhurst — — — 52–62 —
South Carolina Upstate @ Wake Forest +17.6 144.4 90% 80–85 ✓
Merrimack @ VCU — — — 42–63 —
Evansville @ Middle Tennessee — — — 63–80 —
Southern @ East Texas A&M +1.1 147.6 67% 68–70 ✓
Kent State @ Auburn — — — 56–79 —
Louisiana @ Houston — — — 45–91 —
Troy @ Arkansas +3.8 133.5 73% 49–65 ✓
Green Bay @ Western Illinois — — — 87–73 —
Oral Roberts @ Tulsa — — — 76–85 —
California @ Vanderbilt +5.5 153.1 77% 69–85 ✓
Wyoming @ Texas Tech — — — 49–96 —
Seton Hall @ Hofstra — — — 48–49 —
North Texas @ Minnesota — — — 54–51 —
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Nebraska +21.3 147.5 91% 60–86 ✓
Houston Christian @ Creighton — — — 43–78 —
Oakland @ Illinois — — — 54–66 —
Cal State Fullerton @ Colorado — — — 53–83 —
Queens University @ BYU +20.1 145.7 90% 55–99 ✓
North Dakota State @ Santa Clara +12.9 146.2 76% 88–80 ✗
Fresno State @ UC Santa Barbara — — — 86–91 —
Weber State @ Nevada — — — 58–88 —
Long Beach State @ San Francisco — — — 54–84 —
UT Arlington @ USC — — — 95–98 —
Utah Valley @ North Dakota — — — 71–77 —
Lindenwood @ New Orleans — — — 74–82 —
Eastern Michigan @ IU Indianapolis — — — 74–71 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.