Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -1800 WEB +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +30 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -17.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -19.8 (+10.2) | 129.2 (+16.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -19.3 (+10.7) | 135.6 (+10.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -16.9 (+13.1) | 133.9 (+12.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | NEV 72 – 55 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#137) | -6.1 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#53) | -0.46 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#49) | -0.70 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.812 (#11) | 0.500 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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