Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | LONG -180 MILW +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -17.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -17.8 (-3.8) | 142.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -21.5 (-7.5) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -17.2 (-3.2) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | LONG 80 – 67 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#159) | -6.6 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#167) | -0.97 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#172) | -1.61 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#322) | 0.250 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 51.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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