And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · December 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LONG -3.5 Away covered
O/U 149.0 Under
Money MILW +158 / LONG -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual LONG +13 147 Lost
Massey LONG -7.6 (-5.4)
Massey Totals 150.0 (-3.0)
Bradley-Terry 15%
Weighted B-T 5%
Baseline Plus ML LONG -5.8 (-7.2) 144.4 (+2.6) 26%
Baseline ML LONG -5.6 (-7.4) 144.7 (+2.3) 27%
Baseline Tuned ML LONG -5.3 (-7.7) 144.3 (+2.7) 25%
Efficiency Plus ML LONG -6.0 (-7.0) 143.5 (+3.5) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 14, 2024 LONG 7662 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW LONG
Overall 20-15 21-14
Conference 12-8 6-10
Home 12-4 13-3
Away 6-9 5-10
Neutral 2-2 3-1
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.0 72.9
Avg Pts Against 79.5 70.2
Massey -8.0 (#305) 4.5 (#101)
Bradley-Terry -1.41 (#293) 1.33 (#73)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.66 (#318) 1.47 (#90)
RPI 0.414 (#301) 0.547 (#112)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW LONG
FG% 41.7% 44.4%
3PT% 30.3% 33.3%
REB / G 33.9 38.4
OREB / G 13.5 12.8
AST / TO 0.94 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 49.6%
TOV% 17.9% 19.1%
ORB% 35.8% 37.6%
FT Rate 21.3% 31.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 45.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 20.3%
DRB% 60.8% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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