And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Food City Center · November 14, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -25.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money TENN -5000 / MONT +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +35 149 Won
Massey TENN -34.5 (+0.5)
Massey Totals 129.3 (+19.7)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML TENN -32.2 (+2.8) 129.9 (+19.1) 90%
Baseline ML TENN -31.9 (+3.1) 135.3 (+13.7) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -23.7 (+11.3) 135.4 (+13.6) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN MONT
Overall 30-8 25-10
Conference 12-6 15-3
Home 16-1 15-1
Away 6-5 7-8
Neutral 8-2 3-1
Last 5 2-0 0-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 75.2
Avg Pts Against 63.1 75.0
Massey 15.5 (#9) -9.2 (#335)
Bradley-Terry 2.35 (#12) -0.24 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.61 (#10) -0.32 (#197)
RPI 0.771 (#19) 0.562 (#120)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN MONT
FG% 53.7% 34.0%
3PT% 42.9% 15.8%
REB / G 34.5 31.0
OREB / G 10.0 8.0
AST / TO 0.90 0.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 62.0% 37.0%
TOV% 23.1% 21.8%
ORB% 36.4% 21.6%
FT Rate 21.3% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.7% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 12.1%
DRB% 68.1% 63.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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