Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +26 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -21.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -20.2 (+5.8) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -19.9 (+6.1) | 142.4 (+3.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -18.6 (+7.4) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -21.3 (+4.7) | 147.5 (-1.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#202) | -12.8 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#124) | -0.68 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#133) | -0.98 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#222) | 0.500 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 41.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 63.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.5% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 57.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.