Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -31.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -20000 QUC +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +44 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -18.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -20.5 (+23.5) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -21.0 (+23.0) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -17.5 (+26.5) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -20.1 (+23.9) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#82) | -3.5 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#46) | 0.10 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#59) | 0.10 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#74) | 0.667 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 33.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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