Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -125 RICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +17 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -15.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-49.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -8.8 (+8.2) | 146.2 (-33.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -9.8 (+7.2) | 151.1 (-38.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -12.7 (+4.3) | 145.2 (-32.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | RICH 71 – 66 CLT |
| Dec 17, 2023 | RICH 64 – 56 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#201) | -7.2 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#182) | -2.68 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#183) | -4.46 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#164) | 0.000 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 43.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 23.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 47.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 53.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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