Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -100000 UPST +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -21.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -19.6 (-14.6) | 141.0 (+24.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -17.5 (-12.5) | 142.4 (+22.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -13.5 (-8.5) | 143.8 (+21.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -17.6 (-12.6) | 144.4 (+20.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | WAKE 79 – 53 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 2-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 85.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#102) | -8.0 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#31) | -0.62 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#31) | -0.88 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#71) | 0.542 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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