Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -155 UNT +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +3 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -9.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -10.1 (-13.1) | 134.9 (-29.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -7.2 (-10.2) | 135.1 (-30.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-9 | 17-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#126) | 2.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#61) | 0.49 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#64) | 0.70 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#4) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 44.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 88.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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