Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -580 EVAN +420 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -23.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -17.6 (-0.6) | 141.1 (+1.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -23.7 (-6.7) | 139.5 (+3.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | MTSU 77 – 72 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#23) | -2.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#29) | -0.49 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#26) | -0.70 (#233) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 22.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 3.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 11.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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