Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +35 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -15.1 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -19.3 (+15.7) | 146.9 (-25.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -19.8 (+15.2) | 148.1 (-27.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -15.9 (+19.1) | 145.1 (-24.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#160) | -4.7 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#118) | -0.75 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#121) | -1.18 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#164) | 0.375 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 35.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 37.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 66.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 10.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 12.9% |
Game Analysis
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