← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
25–6 on winners
spread MAE 7.9
31 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+4.0 | 145.8 | 66% | 80–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.0 | 137.4 | 74% | 61–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.2 | 144.7 | 80% | 54–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.6 | 146.2 | 88% | 60–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.1 | 152.5 | 87% | 76–103 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.8 | 137.1 | 37% | 87–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 133.1 | 58% | 74–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.4 | 134.7 | 82% | 62–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.3 | 142.4 | 84% | 59–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.4 | 135.9 | 34% | 78–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.1 | 150.4 | 67% | 55–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.6 | 128.4 | 85% | 49–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.5 | 146.8 | 90% | 70–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.1 | 144.4 | 71% | 48–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.3 | 143.7 | 86% | 66–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-19.0 | 128.8 | 11% | 69–59 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.1 | 128.0 | 14% | 79–53 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 132.1 | 67% | 72–61 | ✗ |
|
|
+16.5 | 135.1 | 90% | 64–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 146.3 | 71% | 91–87 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.1 | 129.7 | 58% | 61–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 142.5 | 68% | 75–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.6 | 143.0 | 78% | 63–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.5 | 137.0 | 86% | 56–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.2 | 138.5 | 54% | 87–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.0 | 135.7 | 82% | 65–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.0 | 134.7 | 23% | 83–94 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.4 | 132.1 | 84% | 68–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.5 | 135.9 | 90% | 56–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.0 | 144.3 | 81% | 78–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 131.8 | 63% | 63–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.