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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–2 on winners spread MAE 7.4 27 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina State	-2.4	155.9	39%	94–84	✓
UMBC @ Loyola Maryland	-2.5	138.3	30%	72–69	✓
Marshall @ UNC Greensboro	-5.4	139.3	37%	67–75	✗
UMass Lowell @ Rhode Island	-4.6	135.9	40%	75–77	✗
Princeton @ Iona	+2.1	141.0	60%	64–70	✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Richmond	+15.7	147.3	88%	48–77	✓
Dartmouth @ Boston University	+8.5	139.2	82%	59–67	✓
North Carolina Central @ LSU	+11.2	136.0	86%	57–67	✓
Southern @ Xavier	+17.6	152.4	89%	59–79	✓
The Citadel @ North Carolina	+19.9	149.0	90%	67–100	✓
Stonehill @ Boston College	+6.1	136.6	74%	56–63	✓
Saint Peter's @ Hartford	-8.6	123.1	17%	58–57	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Houston	+27.8	128.8	91%	46–74	✓
Prairie View A&M @ UIC	+1.5	136.1	63%	61–70	✓
Chicago State @ Murray State	+13.9	144.1	88%	65–66	✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Wichita State	+21.8	133.5	91%	48–71	✓
Florida International @ Howard	+0.4	142.1	50%	59–71	✓
Green Bay @ St. Thomas	+15.0	137.7	89%	61–82	✓
Southern Miss @ Lamar	-11.8	141.7	17%	91–65	✓
Eastern Washington @ Texas Tech	+16.2	133.7	89%	70–77	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Arizona	+18.6	158.1	89%	61–99	✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Florida State	+8.8	141.0	81%	63–80	✓
Memphis @ Alabama	+10.7	152.1	85%	88–91	✓
LSU New Orleans @ Boise State	+24.8	138.2	91%	50–91	✓
UTSA @ Utah	+23.1	146.4	90%	70–91	✓
Portland State @ Santa Clara	+10.4	153.2	85%	75–78	✓
Cal Poly @ Washington	+10.9	129.9	82%	68–74	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.