Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | HOW +163 FIU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -0.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -0.8 (+11.2) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -1.0 (+11.0) | 146.3 (-16.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -0.4 (+11.6) | 146.5 (-16.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -0.4 (+11.6) | 142.1 (-12.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2024 | HOW 75 – 70 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#334) | -5.9 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#285) | -2.14 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#305) | -2.94 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#276) | 0.382 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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