Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -185 HOW +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -8.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -5.2 (-10.2) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -5.2 (-10.2) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.7 (-9.7) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2022 | HOW 71 – 59 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#189) | -2.2 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#274) | 0.38 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#277) | 0.49 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#232) | 0.570 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 43.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 61.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 52.0% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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