Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 7.7 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Alabama @ Alabama A&M -8.3 144.7 24% 78–71 ✓
Columbia @ Lafayette +9.3 130.7 73% 57–45 ✗
Yale @ Fairfield -7.5 128.3 20% 77–64 ✓
Rice @ Texas +24.3 146.5 90% 81–87 ✓
South Florida @ Northern Iowa +2.7 131.2 55% 72–69 ✗
Liberty @ Oral Roberts +6.2 146.0 70% 70–84 ✓
Monmouth @ Syracuse +14.8 144.6 89% 71–86 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Gonzaga +22.9 150.7 91% 67–88 ✓
Arizona State @ Creighton -0.2 141.2 52% 73–71 ✓
UC San Diego @ San Diego +5.6 142.5 69% 58–84 ✓
Kennesaw State @ San Diego State +13.3 139.8 87% 54–88 ✓
San Francisco @ New Mexico +3.7 147.6 67% 64–67 ✓
Longwood @ St. Francis Brooklyn -8.0 132.5 21% 63–57 ✓
Coppin State @ George Washington +6.3 153.6 77% 71–83 ✓
VMI @ American University +9.2 137.2 83% 61–69 ✓
Furman @ NC State +9.6 149.0 83% 73–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.